Rising War of Words Between Ethiopian Government and Eritrea Raises Fears of Armed Clash

Growing worries are present about the chance of warfare involving East African countries, Ethiopia and the Eritrean government, as aggressive rhetoric has ratcheted up in recent weeks.

Red Sea coastline
The Ethiopian government and The Eritrean government were allies in the civil war in northern Ethiopia but they have since fallen out.

What Has Ethiopia Said?

Landlocked Ethiopia's calls for entry to the sea coast through Eritrea has triggered a intense rhetorical conflict.

Ethiopian Prime Minister first openly declared in the previous year that his nation's sea access was an crucial concern, statements that Eritrean authorities ignored.

Ties between the neighboring nations have often been tense. Following a decades-long battle for independence, the Eritrean state, which has a long Red Sea coastline, formally separated from Ethiopian rule in 1993, rendering it landlocked.

Five years later, a border war started in which numerous people lost their lives.

Latest Comments from Ethiopian Officials

Prime Minister Abiy and army chief General Birhanu Jula have directly stated ownership of Eritrea's coastal city of the port of Assab – about 60km from the frontier - and implied the intention to seize it militarily.

In early September, the Prime Minister said the country's "error" of losing entry to the Red Sea as a result of Eritrea secession would be "rectified soon".

The Ethiopian envoy to Kenya, ex-military officer Bacha, said that the port was "Ethiopia's wealth" and would be restored "using武力".

Eritrean Reaction to the Statements

In the face of continuous warnings from Ethiopian officials, Eritrea's reaction has been limited to concise remarks on X from Communications Head Yemane Gebremeskel.

The minister has dismissed Ethiopian requests for access to the Red Sea describing it as "risky" and a "harmful plan" of "irredentism" – a approach of reclaiming lost territory.

Government spokespeople warned on 16 September that moves to justify "flagrant aggression" would have significant repercussions for the Ethiopian government and its neighbors and is a "boundary that should not be crossed|violated|breached".

Military Movements on the Border

So far, there are little evidence of large-scale army activities in the frontier regions between the two countries.

Nevertheless, in Ethiopia, government media has broadcast completion events of thousands of cadets at multiple army bases.

The director of personnel division of the military, the officer, stated recently in an discussion that the army was in a "reliable position" as "many thousands of recruits" were enlisting, which he said was "a message to our enemies".

Past Origins of the Tension

For over fifty years from the late 19th century, the territory was governed by Italian colonisers.

Following the end of Italian rule, it was then controlled by the British military before turning into a associated territory of the Ethiopian empire.

Yet in 1962 the Ethiopian emperor cancelled this arrangement and Eritrea became completely integrated into Ethiopia.

A thirty-year internal conflict ensued, finishing with the government's loss in the early 1990s. Autonomy was then approved by Eritreans in a referendum in 1993.

For a few years in the 1990s, there were positive ties between the governments in Ethiopia's capital and Asmara, but they clashed over the precise positioning of their common border, causing war in 1998.

Although this concluded in a peace deal in 2000, it was incompletely executed, and the two nations stayed at in dispute.

This changed in 2018, when the Prime Minister made gestures to Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki. The two signed a declaration that the hostilities was concluded – a decision that won Abiy the prestigious award.

The neighboring states were then allies in the country's previous civil war in Tigray.

However diplomatic connections have later worsened anew.

Christopher Phillips
Christopher Phillips

Oliver Bennett is a digital marketing strategist with over a decade of experience in brand development and online growth.